NORTHERN BRUCE PENINSULA – 2067

NOTES ON THE PUBLIC FORUM DISCUSSIONS HELD SUNDAY, MAY 7, 2017

SOURCES OF KNOWLEDGE FORUM

the Interactive Backcasting Approach

 

Interactive backcasting was developed as an alternative to traditional forecasting and planning methods.  It is a very useful tool for exploring sustainable policies. It is also described as ‘backwards−looking−analysis’, which is based on working backwards from a particular desirable future.

The process starts with choosing one or several future visions as a starting point. Then the participants work backwards to present exploring different interventions that can help to attain the future vision.

 

 

The following elements are identified:

  • Milestones to be passed
  • Opportunities to be taken
  • Obstacles to be overcome ‘along the way’

Interactive backcasting is a useful method when:

  • Solving complex problem that affects many sectors and levels of society
  • Major (systemic) changes are needed
  • The problem relates to externalities not addressed by the market alone
  • When the time horizon is long, 30 − 50 years

Some Context to Consider for Northern Bruce Peninsula 2067

  • many of us will be deceased, so we are talking about the NBP of our children, grandchildren and great-grandchildren (NEED DEMOGRAPHIC INFO)
  • hard infrastructure has a life span so many of the buildings we see today will need significant re-builds
  • the last 50 years we’ve moved from a natural resource-based economy (fishing, lumbering) to a service-based economy (tourism, government services)
  • may need climate change susceptibility/forecast for Peninsula to guide us (ie., water levels, precipitation levels, flooding, forest fires with more lightning strikes from violent weather, temperature increase)
  • SON land claim will have been settled

For the full details of the Sunday discussions please view the following report (PDF Format):

2017 Forum: Sunday Discussion Report

 

© 2017 Sources of Knowledge